New polling reveals that most Americans are skeptical that Donald Trump’s peace deal in the Middle East will mean a complete and total end to the war.
Polling by JL Partners shared exclusively with the Daily Mail shows that less than one third of respondents believe that the deal ‘will end the fighting in Gaza,’ with only 31 percent agreeing with the statement.
Twenty-five percent of poll takers said they were ‘unsure’ if the peace would be lasting, while nearly half of respondents noted that they foresee the conflict dissolving ‘back into war’, totaling 44 percent.
The JL Partners poll was conducted between on October 14th and 15th, and consisted of 1,004 registered voters.
After brokering the peace deal between Israel and Hamas two weeks ago, Trump was widely heralded as the ‘peace president,’ but permanent peace in that contested region was always going to be an uphill battle.
Hamas has already been accused of violating Trump’s peace agreement by refusing to surrender the bodies of hostages and engaging in violent clashes with rival Palestinian factions as Israeli troops pull back.
Vice President JD Vance said Tuesday that Hamas will be ‘obliterated’ if the Palestinian terror group doesn’t uphold its end of President Donald Trump’s ceasefire deal.
‘Look, our warning to Hamas is very straightforward. The terms of the 20-point plan that the president put out there is very clear,’ Vance said.
President Donald Trump talks with Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the Knesset, Israel’s parliament, Monday, Oct. 13, 2025, in Jerusalem.
Yuval (R) and Tom (2nd R), the daughter and the brother of Ronen Engel, an Israeli man abducted from his home and killed by Palestinian militants during Hamas’ October 7, 2023 attacks on Israel, mourn over his coffin during his funeral at the southern Israeli kibbutz of Nir Oz, on October 21, 2025.
Palestinian Hamas militants stand guard on the day of the handover of hostages held in Gaza since the deadly October 7 2023 attack, as part of a ceasefire and a hostages-prisoners swap deal between Hamas and Israel, in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip, February 22, 2025.
Footage emerging from Gaza appears to show the terror group executing fellow Palestinians, prompting threats of a military response from Trump himself.
‘It’s that Hamas has to disarm. It’s that Hamas has to actually behave itself and that Hamas, while all the fighters can be given some sort of clemency, they’re not going to be able to kill each other and they’re not going to be able to kill their fellow Palestinians,’ the vice president continued during his speech Tuesday.
Since the ceasefire deal was struck, videos of Hamas fighters have emerged showing them executing other Palestinians in public, and Israel has also accused the group of violating the terms, prompting Israeli military strikes on Sunday.
The Gaza Health Ministry claimed Tuesday that 13 Palestinians had been killed in the past 24 hours.
Despite that uncertainty, when asked which president had done the most for the Middle East, Trump received more votes than his four White House predecessors combined, in the Daily Mail/JL Partners poll.
The results also suggest that a majority in the United States believes Trump’s role in stopping the fighting will be one of the crowning moments of his presidency.
Fifty-five percent of voters believe Trump has handled peace in the Middle East ‘well’ – more than double who said he was handling it ‘badly’ (24 percent), according to the survey.
Steve Bannon during a broadcast of his Bannon’s War Room show which aired on Monday, October 20th
U.S. President Donald Trump talks with Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Knesset, Israel’s parliament, on October 13, 2025 in Jerusalem
CIA Director John Ratcliffe (R) talks with General Dan Caine (L) as they arrive at Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson on August 15, 2025 in Anchorage, Alaska. President Trump is meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin for peace talks aimed at ending the war in Ukraine.
Some MAGA-aligned Trump backers are already expressing skepticism that a deal can hold.
Former Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz piled on criticism about the deal after news broke of the ceasefire breach Sunday, posting on X that ‘Bibi is now actively sabotaging Trump’s peace deal. And Trump knows it.’
Trump visited Israel last week, hours after Hamas released the remaining Israeli hostages captured on Oct. 7, 2023, part of a US-brokered ceasefire deal to end the war in Gaza.
After the breach of the ceasefire, about 44 individuals were killed, per data shared by local hospitals.
The strikes came after Israel accused Hamas of violating a ceasefire by attacking its troops.
The momentary resumption of the conflict was the most serious challenge yet to the tenuous U.S.-backed ceasefire deal. Israel later said it had resumed enforcing the agreement.
